Friday, 10 January 2014 22:56

COMMENTARY : Vasiliy Kuznetsov on the resignation of the Cabinet of Ali Laarayed

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The resignation of the Cabinet of Ali Laarayedh and forthcoming appointment of a new Prime Minister Mehdi Jomaa are the results of the national dialogue, which has been lasting for several months. For the moment the question is how much does the change of the Cabinet will help the country to recover from the political crisis in which it has been plunged at least since February. In my opinion, this resignation is not enough, because the key opposition force "Nidaa Tunis ' didn’t take part in the national dialogue and the candidature of Jomaa  does not reflect the opinion of the major part of the society and of the political establishment. On the other hand, the problem of the political crisis in Tunisia resigns not on only in subjective, conjunctural reasons, related with social polarization and confrontation between the ruling coalition and opposition forces. It is much more resigns in objective reasons as monstrous persisting recession, the lack of public security, the spread of terrorism, etc. Will the new cabinet be able to solve all these problems – the time will show. Despite the optimistic statements by numerous politicians (including - representatives Nidaa Tunis), there is a suspicion that the new Cabinet will be as weak as the previous one. Additional argument in favor of this thesis is that the resignation of the government now has once again happened under the street pressure, and that means that the new cabinet will have very limited ability to take unpopular but necessary measures.

Paradoxically, to some extent Laarayedh’s resignation could play into the Islamist’s benefit because they partly relieves their responsibility  for the political situation in the country and especially for the security situation . After all the Prime Minister Ali Laarayedh in this respect was compromised figure – before becoming the prime minister , he was the Minister of the Interior , and that was a period when the country faced of security problems: such actors as Ansar al- Sharia, Ligue de protection de la revolution and others began to act.

By turn, the consistently nihilistic position of opposition forces can play with them a bad joke. On the one hand, they are supported by the street, that is disaffected towards the Troika , but on the other hand - they are dogmatists , incapable to negotiate and to reach any consensus.

Despite the obvious benefits of this position today, tomorrow the situation may turn against them and add points to the Islamists.

Vasiliy Kuznetsov specially for IMESClub

Read 14545 times Last modified on Tuesday, 14 January 2014 02:20
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